Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 341.092204 389.012819 443.098957 509.032829 587.733708 679.280542 794.731454
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 277.015864 340.337377 418.950483 525.244062 667.597812 855.188691 1127.187664
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 237.734755 306.332443 396.950448 528.345108 719.084650 994.389472 1438.612058
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 206.508323 275.687280 371.442086 517.970922 744.703088 1097.232307 1720.148105
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 186.332993 256.413277 357.414685 519.498918 785.181426 1227.778397 2081.099710
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 166.967152 235.410361 337.322683 507.380978 799.920752 1316.970853 2393.851818
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 153.123296 220.752654 324.534016 504.169513 827.752486 1433.649522 2797.351902
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 136.922408 200.682414 300.751022 478.818705 811.113799 1462.041166 3021.239530
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 132.013124 197.725661 303.967684 500.146986 884.238723 1685.166393 3781.837982
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 128.968902 197.347472 311.217048 529.486339 978.442639 1978.313759 4861.940516
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 121.671639 189.166129 304.074768 530.654845 1014.735291 2150.069855 5692.448540
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 112.804240 177.542338 289.660254 515.681117 1013.297935 2230.031865 6281.844661
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 104.705715 166.799088 276.173722 501.587027 1013.152991 2318.585335 6973.857318
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 101.372571 164.159944 277.343045 517.813818 1087.176598 2631.195720 8720.138406
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 96.702773 158.709854 272.628045 520.852163 1129.920595 2870.246504 10376.856068
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 90.949257 150.829828 262.483539 510.661700 1137.179102 3004.859835 11687.674919
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 87.009534 145.998435 257.847811 512.162717 1175.561094 3253.913494 13832.397867
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 82.015667 138.831138 247.922767 500.258152 1175.190946 3372.876678 15400.451295
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 78.306876 133.854949 242.023559 497.103023 1199.091290 3589.021529 17847.169026
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 72.820545 125.121209 227.727787 472.193738 1155.346197 3538.198970 18454.663347
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 71.941864 125.280979 231.977573 493.150932 1253.225687 4083.408864 24343.381106
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 71.703185 126.670853 238.947113 521.973338 1383.411187 4837.484611 33865.907982
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 69.197728 123.341531 235.388898 523.121104 1424.342583 5217.088319 40804.743686